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Value Gold ETF

  • Value Gold ETF (the “Fund”) is a fund listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (“SEHK”), which aims to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the London Bullion Market Association Gold Price.
  • The Fund only invests in bullion and may experience greater volatility due to single economic, market or political occurrences.
  • The Fund has adopted a multi counter and units are traded in HKD, RMB and USD on SEHK. The nature of the multi-counter model may make investment in the units riskier than in single counter units or shares of an SEHK listed issuer. Investors without RMB or USD accounts may buy and sell HKD traded units only.
  • RMB is not a freely convertible currency and is subject to foreign exchange control policies, as well as repatriation restrictions imposed by the PRC government. Investors whose base currencies of investments are not in RMB should take into account the potential risk of loss arising from fluctuations in value between such currencies and the RMB.
  • The Fund does not insure its bullion and the Fund and unitholders could suffer a loss if the bullion held by the custodian is lost or damaged.
  • As the Fund is not actively managed, the Manager will not adopt a temporary defensive position against any market downturn. Investors may lose part or all of their investment.
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  • 【信報】黃金疫下供應減支持金價升(Chinese Only)

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【信報】黃金疫下供應減支持金價升(Chinese Only)

黃金供應或產金地遍布全球,而這種地域上的分散有助穩定金市及滿足市場需求,就算某地方的供應受到特殊因素影響而減少甚或中止,其他地方的供應亦會增加,以迅速滿足市場需求。然而,在全球經濟一體化之下,大型經濟體若發生經濟災難,其影響亦遍及全球。

根據世界黃金協會的數據,中國每年的黃金產量由2010年的351.1噸,增至2016年的463.7噸,2018年產量亦維持在400噸以上,而增產量最大的是從2011年的371.2噸增加42.1噸,至2012年的413.3噸,增幅為11.34%。

相反,另一個黃金需求大國印度,產量卻由2010年的134.6噸降至2012年的82.6噸。此外,歐洲與北美產量在上述期間並無太大變化。

疫情致消費需求大跌

今年首季受到新冠肺炎疫情影響,各國採取封城措施,妨礙了金礦業以及二手黃金市場交易量,以致首季黃金供應按年減少了4%,各類型的實金需求亦受疫情影響而大減,尤其是歐美國家,消費需求疲弱。全球實金需求按年大跌28%至567.41噸,金條需求按年跌19%至150.4噸,全球珠寶需求更大跌39%至325.8噸的歷史低位。

不過,投資需求按年激增80%至539.6噸。新冠肺炎疫情令到全球三大煉金商—Valcambi、Argor-Heraeus及PAMP在3月23日開始暫停運作,令黃金供應減少,支持了金價上升。

另外,相信是因為市場逐步回復正常,銀行的風險胃納降低,於是重新調整其交易策略及限制其在EFP(期貨轉現貨)交易的風險敝口,倫敦OTC現貨金與COMEX期金的價差在近幾周開始收窄。

本地黃金ETF助減地域風險

以投資黃金為例,EFP交易可以讓持有期金的投資者,在合約即將到期時轉為持有實金,由於EFP反映的是期金與現貨金的差價,這種交易可令投資者免除轉倉時需要為價差付出額外成本。相比之下,在本港上市的黃金ETF,其所有管理及運作皆在本地進行,黃金存放於本港的保險庫,故亦大大降低了地域差異的交易風險,位處於本地的投資者更放心。

表現方面,黃金由年初至今表現亮麗,環球股票及債券市場卻大多錄得單位數甚至雙位數的跌幅。相信在目前市況下,不少投資者轉而追捧避險資產,面對聯儲局無限量寬,美元走弱,黃金被視為最能保值且具升值潛力的避險資產。

刊登於2020年6月10日信報惠理基金專欄。

本文提供之意見純屬盛寶資產管理香港有限公司之觀點,會因市場及其他情況而改變。以上資料並不構成任何投資建議,亦不應視作投資決策之依據。所有資料是搜集自被認為是可靠的來源,但惠理不保證資料的準確性。本文包含之部分陳述可能被視為前瞻性陳述,此等陳述不保證任何將來表現,實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。刊發人:盛寶資產管理香港有限公司

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