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Value Gold ETF

  • Value Gold ETF (the “Fund”) is a fund listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (“SEHK”), which aims to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the London Bullion Market Association Gold Price.
  • The Fund only invests in bullion and may experience greater volatility due to single economic, market or political occurrences.
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  • 上輪低息期升逾倍 金價追漲幅? (Chinese only)

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上輪低息期升逾倍 金價追漲幅? (Chinese only)

黃金持續上漲,今年上半年增長17%,單是7月升幅更達10%,反映疫情下的新常態無損黃金的投資需求,在環球風險資產反彈之際罕有地不減反增。

在7月28日,黃金價格創下新高,收市價和單日高位均打破倫敦金銀市場協會(LBMA)黃金價格(下午)的紀錄。LBMA下午黃金價格當日的收市價為每盎斯1940.9美元,超越了在2011年9月5日創下每盎斯1895.0美元的紀錄,並且在交易日內曾經一度突破每盎斯1981.3美元,亦高於對上一次亞洲交易時段每盎斯1921.2美元的單日高位。

黃金消費需求疲弱

黃金升勢凌厲,年初至今有實金儲備的ETF和類似產品的淨流入亦創下紀錄,截至7月27日,所有地區的流入量達478億美元。

不過,因部分經濟體增長不振,失業率持續高企,市場仍在計算疫情帶來的實質經濟影響,使環球消費意欲低沉,上半年黃金相關的需求雖主要由亞洲推動,但整體而言算是十分疲弱,當中珠寶需求暴跌46%,金條和硬幣亦下降17%。

前方多項政經風險

面對疫情對人民生活方式及經濟結構的不同轉變,環球央行察覺到前方尚有美中政治風險日增、美國11月大選、英國有可能在今年底硬脫歐等的政治風險,加上全球第二波疫情爆發、相關的封鎖政策致部分商業活動停擺,均為短期內的不明朗因素。因此央行皆期望結合量化寬鬆政策和其他非傳統政策措施,積極降低利率,批出大規模的救援計劃,以減輕當地就業和民生問題及應對下行風險。

在目前全球央行繼續放水,並維持超低息環境,或成為避險資金持續流入金市的原因,相信金價有較高機會再創新高。

金融海嘯後升逾倍

然而,回顧上一個寬鬆周期,2008年環球金融海嘯後,美國聯儲局擴大流動性及以債券購買計劃支持市場,金價從2008年初約每盎斯900美元的水平,至全球金融危機後3年共上漲一倍多。相比之下,自從全球的新冠肺炎疫情爆發開始以來,黃金的漲幅不到30%。比較過往的升勢動力,若是次周期的寬鬆延續,黃金或仍具有可觀的上升潛力。

 

投資涉及風險,往績不代表將來表現。以上資料僅供參考,並不構成任何投資建議。本文提供之意見純屬盛寶資產管理香港有限公司(「盛寶」)之觀點,會因市場及其他情況而改變。以上資料並不構成任何投資建議,亦不應視作投資決策之依據。所有資料是搜集自被認為是可靠的來源,但盛寶不保證資料的準確性。本文包含之部分陳述可能被視為前瞻性陳述,此等陳述不保證任何將來表現,實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。投資者應注意投資涉及風險,基金單位價格可升亦可跌,基金過往業績並不表示將來的回報。投資者應參閱本基金之章程,以了解基金詳情及風險因素,並應特別了解如本基金從聯交所除牌之安排。基金章程可通過網頁獲得。投資者亦應注意,本基金與典型零售投資基金不同,只可以由參與證券商直接以大額增設或贖回基金單位。本文件並未經證監會審閱。刊發人:盛寶資產管理香港有限公司。

 

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