Disclaimer: Hong Kong - Investors

IMPORTANT - Please read this page before proceeding

It explains certain restrictions imposed by law on the distribution of this information in certain jurisdictions. When you have read the information set out below, please click on the "I have read and agreed to the above information " button below to acknowledge that you have read and understood the information and accept the terms and conditions set out therein, otherwise click “Cancel ” to leave the website.

The information on the website you are about to enter is intended for Hong Kong investors only. Non-Hong Kong residents are responsible for observing all applicable laws and regulations of their relevant jurisdictions before accessing the information contained herein. It is your responsibility to be aware of and to observe all applicable laws and regulations of any relevant jurisdiction. By accessing each site, you acknowledged that you have reviewed the site in its entirety including any legal or regulatory rubric.

Risk Warning

Investment involves risks. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments and the income from them may go down as well as up and that you may not get back your original investment. Please refer to the offering documents for details, including the risk factors. You should ensure you fully understand the risks associated with the investment and should also consider your own investment objective and risk tolerance level. If in doubt, please seek independent financial professional advice.

  • The Funds included in this website invest in different investment instruments. Each Fund may have different underlying investments and be exposed to different risks.
  • Some of the Funds invest in emerging markets which may involve a greater risk than developed markets including sharp price movements, liquidity risk and currency risk.
  • Some of the Funds are limited to investment in single or industry sector may open the Funds to higher volatility than diversified portfolios.
  • Some of the Funds invest in securities linked to the China markets and may expose the Funds to additional risks including repatriation risk and uncertainly of taxation policies.
  • Some of the Funds may invest in below investment grade, unrated and high yield debt securities. This exposes the Funds to greater liquidity risk, default risk and price changes due to change in the issuer’s creditworthiness. The Funds invest in fixed income securities which may be impacted by movement in interest rates.
  • All or part of some of the Fund’s fees and expenses may be paid out of capital resulting in an increase in distributable income and effectively a distribution out of capital. Similarly in certain circumstances dividends may be paid out of capital. This amounts to a partial return of an investor’s original investment, or from any capital gains attributable to that original investment, and may result in an immediate decrease of the net asset value per share.
  • It is possible that the entire value of your investment could be lost.
  • You should refer to the offering documents of the respective funds for details, including risk factors. You should not base your investment decision solely on this material.
  • SFC authorization is not a recommendation or endorsement of a product nor does it guarantee the commercial merits of a product or its performance. It does not mean the product is suitable for all investors nor is it an endorsement of its suitability for any particular investor or class of investors.

No Offer/Local Restrictions

Nothing contained in or on the website should be construed as a solicitation of an offer to buy or offer, or recommendation, to acquire or dispose of any security, commodity, investment or to engage in any other transaction. No information included on this website is to be construed as investment advice or as a recommendation or a representation about the suitability or appropriateness of any advisory product or service; or an offer to buy or sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, any security, financial product, or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. Investors should seek independent financial and tax advice before making any investment decision.

The information provided on the website is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person or entity in any jurisdiction or country where such distribution or use would be contrary to law or regulation. All persons and entities accessing the website do so on their own initiative and are responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The website is not directed to any person in any jurisdiction where the publication or availability of the website is prohibited, by reason of that person’s nationality, residence or otherwise. Persons under these restrictions must not access the website.

Information on this website

Value Partners Group Limited (VP) has taken reasonable care to ensure that the information contained on this website is accurate, current, complete, fit for its intended purpose and compliant with relevant legislation and regulations and, where applicable, the laws of the country of your residence as at the date of issue. However, errors or omissions may occur due to circumstances beyond VP’s control and no warranty is given, or representation made, regarding the accuracy, validity or completeness of the information on this website and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of such information. You must conduct your own due diligence and investigations rather than relying on any of the information in this website. Any person who acts upon the information contained on this website does so entirely at his own risk.

Information posted on this website is current only as at the date it is first posted and may no longer be true or complete when viewed by you. VP cannot guarantee that content will be accurate, complete and current at all times. To the extent that any information on this website relates to a third party, such information has been provided by that third party and is the sole responsibility of such third party and VP accepts no liability for such information. All content on the website is subject to modification from time to time without notice.

To the extent that this website contains any expression of opinion or forecast, such opinion or forecast is based on sources believed by VP to be reliable, but is not guaranteed or warranted as to its current validity, accuracy or completeness. Opinions expressed represent the opinions of VP at the date of publication only, reflecting prevailing market conditions and certain assumptions (which may not prove to be valid), are subject to change and should not be relied on by users of the website.

All copyright, patent, intellectual and other property rights in connection with the information contained herein are owned by VP or its affiliates. No rights of any kind are licensed, assigned or shall otherwise pass to persons accessing this information.

This website has not been reviewed by the Securities & Futures Commission in Hong Kong.

Notice relating to the Personal Data (Privacy) Ordinance (the “Ordinance”)

When providing services to our clients and other parties, Sensible Asset Management Hong Kong Limited and its affiliates (collectively “SAMHK”, “the Company”) may from time to time require you to supply your personal data for the purposes of opening or continuing portfolio accounts and in the establishment or continuation of investment management and advisory services by the Company.

Failure to supply such data may result in SAMHK being unable to provide investment management and advisory services.

Personal data collected from you may be used by SAMHK within or outside Hong Kong, for the purposes of providing investment management and advisory services and direct marketing. The usage of the personal data may depend upon your relationship with SAMHK, which include but not limited to:

  • the application for the opening of a new account in SAMHK
  • the daily operation of the investment management and advisory services provided to clients
  • marketing of financial services or related products
  • meeting the requirements to make disclosures under the requirements of any law and/ or regulation and/ or codes binding on/ applicable to the Company.

Data held by the Company relating to you will be kept confidential but the Company may from time to time provide information to the following parties for the above purposes:

  • Any agent or third party service provider who provides administrative or securities clearing or other services to SAMHK in connection with the operation of its business
  • Any person to whom SAMHK is under an obligation to make disclosure under the requirements of any law and/ or regulation and/ or codes binding on/ applicable to the Company
  • Any other person under a duty of confidentiality to SAMHK including all subsidiaries and affiliates of SAMHK which has undertaken to keep such information confidential.

SAMHK intends to use your personal data in direct marketing and SAMHK requires your consent (which includes an indication of no objection) for that purpose. In this connection, your name, contact details, held by SAMHK from time to time may be used by SAMHK in direct marketing of financial services or products offered by SAMHK or co-branded partners.

Pursuant to the Ordinance, you have the right to (a) check whether SAMHK holds any personal data about you, and to access such data, at a reasonable fee, (b) request any inaccurate personal data to be corrected, (c) ascertain SAMHK policies and practices relating to personal data, including the type of personal data SAMHK holds and the main purpose for holding such data and (d) exercise your opt-out right if you do not wish SAMHK to use your personal data for direct marketing purposes. All such requests should be directed to:

The Compliance Officer

Sensible Asset Management Hong Kong Limited

43rd Floor, The Center,

99 Queen's Road Central, Hong Kong

Email: operations@valueETF.com.hk

Fund performance (from to )


ETF Insights
  • Home
  • Insights & Education
  • ETF Insights
  • 加息因素大致消化,金價表現可期 (Chinese only)

Latest ETF insights

Read more

Subscribe to our newsletter

Subscribe

Need more information?

Contact us
加息因素大致消化,金價表現可期 (Chinese only)

大宗商品價格居高不下,帶動物價持續升溫,控制通脹已成為環球央行的當務之急,隨著歐洲逐步加大對俄羅斯的制裁,原油市場繼續陷入供不應求,黃金仍屬抗通脹之選。市場過去已反映不少美國聯儲局加息因素,主席鮑威爾早前更放鴿,年內不考慮加息0.75厘,鑑於息率增幅遠追不上通脹水平,黃金仍有一定的投資價值。

踏入2022年以來,全球通脹、中國疫情反覆,環球股市波動,以及對烏克蘭局勢的擔憂加劇投資者的不安情緒,推動資金流入黃金避險。據世界黃金協會於上月底發布的《全球黃金需求趨勢報告》顯示,今年首三個月黃金總需求量達1234噸,為2018年第四季度以來的最高季度水平。黃金ETF的總持倉量於首季度則增長269噸,是自2020年第三季度以來的最高水平, 2021年全年則淨流出174噸。季內,全球央行官方黃金儲備上升84噸,淨買入量較上季高出逾倍。

金價由高位回調逾一成一

新冠疫情導致全球供應鏈持續陷入混亂,俄烏戰火更進一步加劇供應鏈瓶頸,商品價格大幅飆升。歐盟日前宣布第六輪制裁俄羅斯措施,所有來自俄國的石油產品將被實施禁運,原油市場短缺情況只會更嚴重,油價短期內恐易升難跌。在通脹陰霾籠罩下,美國於今年三月正式進入加息周期,聯儲局在上周的議息會議宣布加息0.5厘,並在六月份開始縮表,但符合市場預期。傳統上,緊縮環境不利金價表現,紐約期金自今年三月初高見2078美元後反覆回落,上周初曾低見1849美元,回調幅度達11%,應已大致反映加息因素。

然而,美國首季經濟增長按年意外收縮1.4%,反映美國經濟正出現潛在衰退的訊號,意味聯儲局在貨幣政策上陷入進退維谷的局面,預期局方不會在加息上過於激進。事實上,鮑威爾於上周發表鴿派言論,目前沒有積極考慮一次過加息0.75厘。據利率期貨數據顯示,市場預期今年六月份加息0.75厘的機率已非常低。眼下現時息口仍遠低於通脹水平,黃金仍能扮演抗通脹的角色。

值得留意的是,俄烏戰爭爆發後,俄羅斯的外匯儲備遭到西方國家凍結。一系列的制裁令部分國家認為,美元的全球主導地位或會逐漸被削弱,持有美元的風險有所上升,增加黃金儲備以減少對美元及西方經濟的依賴或會是其他央行的重要選項,長遠而言屬利好金價的主要因素。另外,俄烏兩國戰火仍未有平息跡象,俄羅斯近日更加大對烏克蘭基礎設施的打擊力度,地緣政治風險仍然高漲,料黃金將繼續發揮避險功能。

資料來源:

  1. 1.      美國聯儲局議息聲明,2022年5月5日
  2. 2.      世界黃金協會,2022年4月28日
  3. 3.      Investing.com,2022年5月6日
  4. 4.      美國商務部經濟分析局,2022年4月28日
  5. 5.      Bloomberg,2022年5月6日

 

本文提供之意見純屬盛寶資產管理香港有限公司之觀點,會因市場及其他情況而改變。以上資料並不構成任何投資建議,亦不應視作投資決策之依據。所有資料是搜集自被認為是可靠的來源,但惠理不保證資料的準確性。本文包含之部分陳述可能被視為前瞻性陳述,此等陳述不保證任何將來表現,實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。刊發人:盛寶資產管理香港有限公司

 

Privacy Info Disclaimer Cookie Policy Copyright©2025 Value Partners Limited. All rights reserved.