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Value Gold ETF

  • Value Gold ETF (the “Fund”) is a fund listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong Limited (“SEHK”), which aims to provide investment results that closely correspond to the performance of the London Bullion Market Association Gold Price.
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  • 考慮分散黃金ETF儲存地區風險 (Chinese only)

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考慮分散黃金ETF儲存地區風險 (Chinese only)

近年,各國保護主義抬頭,去全球化的政治取向使投資市場的地緣政治風險居高不下,中美間的貿易紛爭在近月重臨,疫情過後宏觀經濟充滿挑戰,美國宣布推出無限量貨幣寬鬆,令美元步入弱勢周期,從而增加投資者對避險工具黃金的需求。

過去幾期,筆者介紹過多種在香港投資黃金的途徑,並對比之間的回報及風險,當中提到黃金ETF的優勢之一就是有特定的實金倉庫,儲存與ETF總資產規模相等價值的黃金數量。相較其他黃金投資工具,如紙黃金和黃金期貨,黃金ETF因有黃金的支持,風險偏低。

 

歐洲為黃金ETF主要託管地區

 

投資者在揀選黃金ETF或會考慮託管地的地緣政治風險。現時,環球黃金ETF的託管地點整體集中於歐洲,約佔黃金ETF總儲備的95%,剩餘的5%則存儲於美洲或亞洲地區。

以國家或地區計算,目前英國黃金ETF託管量最大,約1200億美元,佔全球黃金ETF儲備量逾80%。緊隨其後的是德國、加拿大及中國,分別託管13.1%、2.6%和1.5%的黃金。

而我們身處的香港,目前儲存的黃金約為1.68億美元,佔全球黃金ETF資產僅0.1%。

為分散地緣政治風險,投資者在投資黃金時,可以考慮在投資組合內買入不同地區託管的黃金ETF。

除了黃金ETF的託管地點,市場亦十分關注各國央行在黃金買賣市場的動態,黃金在央行的儲備管理中起着重要的作用,其儲備水平亦備受關注。

根據2019年世界黃金協會對黃金儲備管理的調查,高達91%的中央銀行將黃金及其他儲備資產分開管理,反映黃金的重要性。

 

全球央行穩步買入黃金

 

目前世界上已累計開採了約19.8萬噸的黃金,地下仍儲藏着5.4萬噸黃金尚待開採。在已開採的存量中,全球各國央行、國際貨幣基金組織和國際清算銀行等官方機構,目前持有近3.4萬噸黃金作為儲備資產,佔比約為17%,其餘47%為首飾,22%為私人投資。

已被開採的黃金稀缺,但全球央行買入黃金的趨勢未止。國際基金組織數據顯示,僅是今年4月,全球央行共買入31.6噸黃金,該月度黃金淨買入水平與過去6個月的單月購買水平(34.7噸)相若,反映央行正以一個平穩且持續的步伐買入黃金。

不過,鑑於全球央行在2018年和2019年強勁的黃金購買量,預期未來央行並不會大幅增加其購買率,或會維持平穩的買入速度。

 

刊登於2020年6月23日信報惠理基金專欄。

本文提供之意見純屬盛寶資產管理香港有限公司之觀點,會因市場及其他情況而改變。以上資料並不構成任何投資建議,亦不應視作投資決策之依據。所有資料是搜集自被認為是可靠的來源,但惠理不保證資料的準確性。本文包含之部分陳述可能被視為前瞻性陳述,此等陳述不保證任何將來表現,實際情況或發展可能與該等陳述有重大落差。刊發人:盛寶資產管理香港有限公司

 

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